In 1990, I believed the future would happen a LOT faster than it actually did.
I used to think a big change would come by the year 2000. Specifically, there would be some sort of intelligence breakthrough.
Instead of people getting dumber while computers became more powerful (but not smarter), I expected the world to begin to get its act together.
Pre-AI software would accomplish this by effectively increasing human intelligence. There had to be technical ways to make people and society become better organized. Perhaps an "automatic solution approximator" using recursive information sorting?
All of society would become brilliant at knowing what to do next, in the best way possible. There would be no more irrational behavior, or at least no behavior inconsistent with someone's immutable values and preferences.
In reality, it still hasn't started yet. We could be closer but we might not be.
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